Big Brother Canada is back for season 12! Today, Taran Armstrong recaps the Digital Dailies for Week 5 of Big Brother Canada 12.[00:00:00] Now, it must be very careful Margaret.
[00:00:03] It's the girl.
[00:00:04] Witness the birth.
[00:00:05] Bad times will start now.
[00:00:06] Evil things of evil.
[00:00:07] It's all for you.
[00:00:08] No, don't.
[00:00:09] The first stomen.
[00:00:10] I believe the girl is to be the mother.
[00:00:11] Mother of one.
[00:00:12] It's the most terrifying.
[00:00:13] Six six six.
[00:00:14] It's the mark of the girl.
[00:00:15] Movie of the year.
[00:00:16] Real, real, real.
[00:00:17] What story?
[00:00:18] Who said that?
[00:00:19] The first stomen.
[00:00:20] Read it R.
[00:00:21] Under seventeen, I am in without parent.
[00:00:22] Not playing only in theaters.
[00:00:23] With Luckyland Sluts, you can get lucky just about anywhere.
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[00:01:01] With Luckyland Sluts, you can get lucky just about anywhere.
[00:01:06] This is your captain speaking.
[00:01:07] We've got clear runway and the weather's fine but we're just going to circle up here
[00:01:10] a while and get lucky.
[00:01:12] No, no, nothing like that.
[00:01:13] It's just these cash prizes add up quick.
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[00:01:32] Hey, it's Rob.
[00:01:33] Happy Mergitory Week to all those who observe.
[00:01:36] Of course, we got the week started on RHAP with my post game interview with Dr.
[00:01:43] Ebi Jigoda and of course the Know It Alls and exit interview.
[00:01:46] But if you want even more survivor, make sure to check out James Jones,
[00:01:51] who always has interesting stuff to say.
[00:01:52] He's on Why Blank Lost this week with David and Jessica and Drag Race fans.
[00:01:58] Make sure you're checking in with Leanna, Beth and Amon on our Drag Race
[00:02:03] for Hap-Hop after every episode of Drag Race Season 16.
[00:02:07] That's all right here on RHAP.
[00:02:09] We know reality TV.
[00:02:16] Hello, everyone, and welcome to RHAP.
[00:02:31] I'm your host, Taren Armstrong, and I am here today to talk you through what's going on
[00:02:40] with Big Brother Candidate 12.
[00:02:42] That is the plan.
[00:02:43] It's another solo Big Brother Candidate 12 update.
[00:02:49] That's where we are in the state of Big Brother Candidate 12.
[00:02:54] So if you want to ask some questions along the way, I will be monitoring the chat.
[00:03:00] You can ask me and I'll do my best to answer.
[00:03:06] It's this is not a lot, not a lot to get through here tonight.
[00:03:12] Slash today slash whatever time it is for you where you are at this moment.
[00:03:20] But, you know, we there is some stuff to talk about.
[00:03:24] We have new HOH plans for nominations, targets and potential who knows
[00:03:31] back for kinds of big move plays is kind of the idea.
[00:03:37] Right? So we'll get through it all and we'll we'll we'll make it happen.
[00:03:45] That's what we got.
[00:03:46] So obviously, what we saw on on Wednesday
[00:03:55] was that Big Twist came in executive veto.
[00:04:01] Changed the direction of perhaps the entire game as Todd was set to be evicted
[00:04:08] on Wednesday night, although they filmed it on Tuesday night.
[00:04:14] And that was until the executive veto came to play, changed the outcome
[00:04:19] and Vivek was sent home instead.
[00:04:24] Now.
[00:04:25] That that matters because Todd is still a number for the theoretically spicy V
[00:04:33] side of the house instead of the Anthony side of the house.
[00:04:38] And as we headed into the next HOH competition, things were the law was riding on it.
[00:04:46] Very important HOH competition.
[00:04:48] Who's going to win?
[00:04:49] Who's going to get another hit in on the other side?
[00:04:53] And I keep talking about sides, even though, theoretically, there's only one side,
[00:04:59] which is the hot chocolate alliance, which is still together.
[00:05:02] It's just that like people within the hot chocolate alliance
[00:05:06] are still looking to like maintain their pieces for as long as possible.
[00:05:10] It's your classic kind of majority alliance quibbles only sort of exaggerated
[00:05:17] because because spicy does a lot.
[00:05:21] So it's an important HOH.
[00:05:23] We're looking at theoretical targets of somebody like Goose or Tola.
[00:05:29] If spicy side wins and Todd or Bailey, if Anthony's side.
[00:05:36] They get into the competition, they get out of the competition
[00:05:40] and probably seen it somewhere.
[00:05:43] But if you haven't now, you know, Avery won the HOH.
[00:05:51] Which is interesting to me.
[00:05:53] Because of the women on spicy side
[00:06:00] and you might even include, you know, Todd on that side of the players on spicy side.
[00:06:06] Avery is really is the one that despite seeming like she's the most
[00:06:12] like loyal soldier because I do think she's loyal.
[00:06:15] She also seems to be one of the people who is the most
[00:06:20] individual thinker.
[00:06:22] That makes sense.
[00:06:23] She has her own ideas on how to play strategically
[00:06:28] and she's not quite as easily influenced as some of the other people.
[00:06:35] Now, I say that obviously Bailey is a very individual thinker as well.
[00:06:41] But Bailey is not really in the end.
[00:06:43] I guess I guess I'm mostly talking between like Avery,
[00:06:47] like Bailey is already set in what she wants to do.
[00:06:50] Kayla is very easily manipulated by spicy
[00:06:54] and then Todd I think is also like this easily manipulated by Bailey
[00:07:00] or spicy or whoever wants to manipulate him.
[00:07:03] Whereas Avery like has her own thought process
[00:07:07] with the dentist vote, Avery was the one that said we don't need Dennis.
[00:07:11] Dennis is just an obstacle that we will have to get rid of later,
[00:07:15] which I actually thought was a very good argument or Avery.
[00:07:18] And it seems like it's paying off for the most part so far.
[00:07:23] And and so what that means is that she might have her own idea
[00:07:31] of how to run this age away despite the fact
[00:07:34] that spicy might have a different idea of how to run this age away.
[00:07:38] And that might be what we see playing out overall.
[00:07:40] So Avery as the new HOH does, of course, want to target Goose.
[00:07:48] Goose is the primary target for Spicy Side.
[00:07:51] The reason being, in case you sort of missed it in the episode
[00:07:55] or you didn't quite get the full context,
[00:07:58] Goose while HOH was a loyal spicy soldier,
[00:08:03] very easily manipulated into doing what spicy wanted
[00:08:07] and was doing what spicy wanted.
[00:08:08] He was doing what spicy wanted, targeting Tola and or Vivek
[00:08:12] and or basically whoever spicy wanted him to.
[00:08:17] Until he realized that Bailey was getting a lot more information
[00:08:21] than she should and figured out that Spicy was trying to
[00:08:24] hit him against him against against Matt within the directors,
[00:08:29] which he thought he was an actual part of.
[00:08:32] Right.
[00:08:33] And so we saw that in the episode.
[00:08:37] He's like, what the flip?
[00:08:39] What the flip?
[00:08:42] Flipping out and recognizing that he's been played by Spicy.
[00:08:46] And he, the first person in the game to do so actually rats Spicy
[00:08:52] out with some of the shenanigans that she's been doing.
[00:08:55] He says, great to Lexus Matt and Anthony.
[00:08:58] Hey, Spicy is telling me she wants to nominate Matt and Lexus next week.
[00:09:05] Spicy is the one trying to get me to go after you guys, Matt and Lexus.
[00:09:11] Now, unfortunately for Goose, Matt and Lexus didn't really believe him.
[00:09:16] Relayed that information to Spicy.
[00:09:18] And now Spicy's like, well, Goose has got to go.
[00:09:20] He's just making stuff up.
[00:09:23] What a weirdo.
[00:09:26] What a wild card that guy.
[00:09:28] I can't believe man, he did way too much.
[00:09:31] Don't you guys think?
[00:09:35] So really the hit on Goose is is sort of like to silence him and also
[00:09:41] to sort of retaliate against him for figuring Spicy out.
[00:09:47] However, Goose on the advice of Anthony has quieted down since
[00:09:51] and acted at least as though it was just a big misunderstanding.
[00:09:56] I'm so sorry.
[00:09:56] I really messed up and hopefully we can come back together
[00:09:59] and I can get back into your good graces.
[00:10:01] That seems to be Goose's strategy.
[00:10:03] I don't even personally know how genuine it is.
[00:10:06] I would say it's a lie, except for the fact that I still can't figure out
[00:10:11] why he would have saved Todd over Tola last week, given the fact
[00:10:15] that he knew Spicy was playing him and that Todd is a number for Spicy.
[00:10:20] And this matters, right?
[00:10:21] This matters a lot because in the executive veto ceremony,
[00:10:27] chain of rejection or whatever.
[00:10:30] Goose.
[00:10:32] Really, if you think about it, Goose is the person who decided
[00:10:36] who got the executive veto, Anthony or Spicy.
[00:10:40] If Goose chooses to reject Todd first instead of Tola, then the back
[00:10:47] and forth hangs back and forth back and forth until it eventually
[00:10:52] lands on likely Anthony.
[00:10:54] Maybe it would have fallen on Lexus.
[00:10:56] I've thought it through.
[00:10:57] But but most likely it would have gone to Anthony.
[00:11:01] However, instead he chose to reject Tola first, which was a number on
[00:11:07] Anthony's side.
[00:11:08] And so because Anthony's side got rejected first, the ping-ponging
[00:11:12] going back and forth eventually guaranteed that basically Spicy
[00:11:17] or somebody on Spicy's side would get the executive veto.
[00:11:20] Regardless of Lexus choosing Matt or one of the women, I don't
[00:11:23] think Lexus would have even had to make what had to have made
[00:11:26] that decision in the first place.
[00:11:28] But either way, the point is that Goose's decision there really
[00:11:35] mattered and is now kind of coming back to bite him.
[00:11:38] And if it had been a tie last week, like it was looking like
[00:11:41] it might and he had decided to save Todd equally, he would
[00:11:45] have been in a weird position.
[00:11:47] So my my own personal question is why?
[00:11:51] Why, Goose, if you've recognized that Spicy is playing
[00:11:54] you and that you need to pivot, why are you still saving Todd?
[00:11:59] Why are you kind of inadvertently giving her the executive veto
[00:12:03] power, which then allowed her to completely screw over your
[00:12:05] HOH. And now you're being targeted by her and her allies.
[00:12:09] Like what's going on, Goose?
[00:12:12] Why? If I talk to him this next Thursday, that'll be a
[00:12:19] question I'll have to ask.
[00:12:22] But that's why we're here.
[00:12:23] Avery is looking to target Goose.
[00:12:27] Now, initially she was thinking perhaps putting Todd next to Goose
[00:12:31] would be a decent idea.
[00:12:34] You know, could work for her.
[00:12:36] She's looking for a pawn.
[00:12:39] But Spicy and Kayla are talking and they're like and Bailey
[00:12:44] here and there.
[00:12:46] We really want to take out Goose.
[00:12:48] I mean, Goose has got to go for sure.
[00:12:51] But Matt.
[00:12:52] Matt also has got to go.
[00:12:55] The way Spicy and Kayla see it, if they take out Matt,
[00:12:59] it locks Lexis in with them.
[00:13:01] Lexis might not choose the women over Matt, but they
[00:13:07] but she will choose the women over Anthony.
[00:13:10] And so if they just get Matt out of the way, then they lock
[00:13:13] in Lexis and they lock in Anthony because Anthony has
[00:13:18] nowhere else to go.
[00:13:19] If Matt is gone, it's not that they want to target Anthony
[00:13:23] himself.
[00:13:24] In fact, they mentioned this many times that they don't
[00:13:27] want to target Anthony.
[00:13:29] The hot chocolate is still loyal for now.
[00:13:33] They want to get to the end with the hot chocolateers.
[00:13:38] And why wouldn't they if they're the women?
[00:13:40] They have the numbers advantage like this has been
[00:13:43] the whole thing from the start is that the women have
[00:13:45] had the advantage from the start.
[00:13:47] The structure benefits them.
[00:13:49] The very structure that they're often trying to dismantle
[00:13:53] is one that is set up well for them.
[00:13:55] The fear for them is that Anthony will have the ability,
[00:13:59] the tools to dismantle the structure if he wants to.
[00:14:02] He's never actually shown any indication that he wants to,
[00:14:06] but they fear that he might have the ability to and
[00:14:09] they're trying to essentially take away all of his toys
[00:14:13] so that he has no tools to dismantle the structure
[00:14:16] and will be forced to go down the end in the structure
[00:14:20] that benefits them and they'll just take him out at the final five
[00:14:22] or whatever.
[00:14:23] And then they'll go down to the final four with the four hot
[00:14:26] chocolate and hot chocolate women.
[00:14:28] So that's the idea why they want to target Matt here.
[00:14:34] Now, having Avery do it.
[00:14:36] I'm not entirely sure it will play out the way that they want,
[00:14:40] considering the fact that if Avery targets Matt like
[00:14:44] I'm not entirely sure how Lexus will feel about that.
[00:14:46] I'm entirely sure how Dougie will feel about that.
[00:14:49] And if they'll be totally willing to stick with the group
[00:14:52] after that move is made, but hey, you know.
[00:14:56] They might want to try.
[00:14:58] But that's what they want to do.
[00:15:00] So they pitch to Avery.
[00:15:01] Hey, what if instead of goose and pod
[00:15:05] you do something like Matt and Pola?
[00:15:09] And she's like, ooh,
[00:15:12] Matt and Pola.
[00:15:15] I mean, maybe I guess I guess maybe we could do that.
[00:15:19] But I'd want the target to be Tola, not Matt.
[00:15:22] And they're like,
[00:15:24] you do.
[00:15:27] I guess so.
[00:15:29] I guess we could do that.
[00:15:30] I guess we could take out Tola.
[00:15:32] They try to impress upon her the importance of taking out
[00:15:34] somebody like Tola or Matt.
[00:15:36] No, just keeping that option open.
[00:15:39] Um.
[00:15:42] And that was the first that was the first drop
[00:15:44] that basically Avery was, you know, thinking along a certain line.
[00:15:49] Ailey Spicey and Kayla kind of coming in with another idea
[00:15:53] in the second drop here.
[00:15:55] Avery's thought it over a little bit.
[00:15:58] And there's a lot we miss, of course, but
[00:16:03] given some context cues, my assumption is
[00:16:07] that a couple of things happened in between the drop,
[00:16:10] one of which was in the first drop they talked to Anthony about their potential plan.
[00:16:16] Not that they were going to nominate Matt, but Kayla made it
[00:16:19] pretty obvious that she wasn't feeling great about Matt.
[00:16:23] And so I'm almost certain that Anthony went to Matt and said,
[00:16:29] you've got to get them feeling good about you.
[00:16:31] In fact, I think we saw a conversation along those lines in the first drop itself.
[00:16:37] In addition to that, I'm sure Anthony went to work on his own.
[00:16:41] And again, in the space between the two drops,
[00:16:44] I think Matt had a very good conversation with with Avery.
[00:16:48] I think Anthony got to work.
[00:16:50] And by the time we open up in the next drop,
[00:16:53] Avery is feeling like I don't want to nominate.
[00:16:57] Doesn't make a lot of sense for my game.
[00:16:59] In fact, she has a kind of motto in her mind, which is that,
[00:17:04] you know, sometimes the easy move is the best move.
[00:17:09] And that's the philosophy that she wants to stick to this week.
[00:17:14] Look at what happened to Goose, who tried to make a big move
[00:17:18] and it blew up in his face.
[00:17:20] Look what happened to Vivek the week before,
[00:17:23] who tried to make a big move and it blew up in his face.
[00:17:26] Even look at spicy V who made a big move and then regretted it.
[00:17:30] Maybe it's just the easy play.
[00:17:35] Maybe that's just the way to go.
[00:17:39] I think this is a conversation that came from a talk with
[00:17:44] or a concept that came from a talk with with Matt,
[00:17:47] because when she talked about it with Matt in the second drop,
[00:17:49] he mentioned that, oh, yeah, we had talked about that before.
[00:17:53] Either way, this is this is the philosophy that Avery has.
[00:17:57] She'd like to keep things simple.
[00:17:58] So in in pursuit of that,
[00:18:04] she's come to a conclusion of where she wants to go with this.
[00:18:07] H.O.A.
[00:18:08] The nominations she wants to make are Goose and Tola.
[00:18:15] That's just the easiest play for her with Goose as the target.
[00:18:20] Take out Goose this week.
[00:18:21] It's easy. Everyone agrees.
[00:18:23] Use Tola as the pawn.
[00:18:25] Don't piss off Todd.
[00:18:26] Don't piss off Anthony.
[00:18:27] Don't piss off Matt and Lexus.
[00:18:30] Just make the easy play move forward in the game.
[00:18:37] And I'm not going to lie, especially for Avery herself.
[00:18:39] I actually do kind of agree with her again.
[00:18:42] I think that her philosophy is boring.
[00:18:48] Like, I mean, just like with the dentist move, like, yeah,
[00:18:51] Avery doesn't want to keep Dennis.
[00:18:53] That's boring because I like Dennis
[00:18:55] and I want Dennis to stay.
[00:18:57] But I kind of agreed with her reasoning.
[00:18:59] I kind of agree with her reasoning on this one as well,
[00:19:02] especially if she is getting out Goose or Tola,
[00:19:05] two people who are numbers against them.
[00:19:08] If she can take out a number against her
[00:19:10] without raising any flags,
[00:19:13] making it an easy, clean week where she's seen as reliable,
[00:19:18] it kind of just makes a ton of sense to do that.
[00:19:22] It's better for somebody like Bailey, certainly,
[00:19:26] if she makes a bigger move.
[00:19:28] But it's not necessarily better for her,
[00:19:31] at least from my perspective.
[00:19:33] I apologize that that's boring.
[00:19:37] Don't blame me.
[00:19:38] Blame the structure they put in place.
[00:19:40] With a more exciting structure,
[00:19:42] the best move would be more exciting.
[00:19:44] But when you have a boring structure,
[00:19:46] boring moves are usually the best move.
[00:19:49] They've set up a boring structure
[00:19:51] and they've consistently chosen the suboptimal move,
[00:19:54] which is not as boring most of the time.
[00:20:00] I think the move is probably the boring one.
[00:20:04] I do genuinely think that Avery has a good head
[00:20:07] on her shoulders for strategy.
[00:20:09] I think Kayla is the most capable.
[00:20:11] If I'm looking at the trio of Spicy, Kayla, and Avery,
[00:20:15] I think Kayla has the best social game by far,
[00:20:19] but she's slipped up a bit strategically.
[00:20:22] I think Avery has actually the best strategic mind
[00:20:26] of the trio, but not quite as up far socially.
[00:20:31] And then Spicy is spicy.
[00:20:34] She's easily the best liar.
[00:20:36] She's got experience and the reputation
[00:20:40] as well as the charisma.
[00:20:44] And the three of them together are very, very dangerous.
[00:20:47] And then you've got Bailey,
[00:20:48] who I think is also very good strategically.
[00:20:52] And honestly, I think Bailey also is not that bad socially.
[00:20:56] I think she's been put in a bad spot
[00:20:59] because she's so loyal to the women
[00:21:01] who are kind of more loyal to each other than to her
[00:21:03] and have used her as a scapegoat,
[00:21:05] which has put her in a weird spot.
[00:21:10] I think Bailey is a fairly capable player,
[00:21:12] despite the fact that like she's very nearly gone home.
[00:21:18] Either way, that's where Avery stands.
[00:21:22] She's looking at Goose and Tola with Goose is the target.
[00:21:27] Tola as the pawn.
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[00:23:33] Now, the next question is, well,
[00:23:37] what happens if the veto gets you?
[00:23:40] So the current plan that she explains to Bailey
[00:23:44] is that if say,
[00:23:48] Tola wins the veto.
[00:23:51] Takes himself off the block.
[00:23:53] She would like to replace Tola with Todd
[00:23:58] as a pawn or goose to still go home.
[00:24:02] Bailey is concerned about that plan.
[00:24:05] You put Todd on the block,
[00:24:06] we may not have the numbers to keep Todd.
[00:24:10] She's right with Todd and goose on the block.
[00:24:17] Anthony, Matt, Tola and Lexis or votes
[00:24:24] or votes, there's seven votes total.
[00:24:28] So four is enough to send Todd out instead of goose
[00:24:32] if they want to.
[00:24:34] However, Avery feels like no, we'll be fine.
[00:24:39] Lexis will vote with us.
[00:24:41] And Bailey is like, you're sure?
[00:24:42] And she's like, yes.
[00:24:45] Another thing that seems to have happened.
[00:24:47] Off drop is that Lexis has had more conversations
[00:24:53] with the women and she seems to have done a decent job
[00:24:56] of sort of like mollifying their concerns.
[00:25:00] I think the executive veto decision
[00:25:02] where she chose to project Matt instead of them
[00:25:05] helped a lot.
[00:25:06] And then, you know, having those conversations
[00:25:08] seems to be helping as well.
[00:25:10] We even had a discussion between spicy and Bailey
[00:25:14] where spicy was like, I think Lexis might even take Matt out
[00:25:17] for us and Bailey is like, excuse me.
[00:25:23] So that's how Avery feels.
[00:25:25] She feels like they should have
[00:25:29] they should have Lexis on board to take out goose.
[00:25:32] And on top of that, Tola wants goose out.
[00:25:34] Like everybody seems to want goose out.
[00:25:36] She's not that concerned about the vote.
[00:25:38] So Todd, for her, makes the most sense
[00:25:41] as the replacement nominee.
[00:25:42] She doesn't have to make any like get any too much blood on her.
[00:25:49] And the question is what happens if Goose wins the veto?
[00:25:52] Oh, the target win.
[00:25:55] In that case, she would still nominate Todd
[00:25:57] as the replacement, but Tola would be her target.
[00:26:01] Once again,
[00:26:04] you may not have the votes to make that happen.
[00:26:07] However, with Goose as a potential swing vote there,
[00:26:10] they might actually considering that Goose has consistently chosen Todd over Tola.
[00:26:16] So who knows?
[00:26:17] But that's that's kind of where Avery stands now.
[00:26:20] Bailey pitches. Well, what about somebody like Matt as a replacement?
[00:26:24] What do you think about that?
[00:26:26] And Avery is like, oh, we could.
[00:26:30] But.
[00:26:32] It doesn't seem very enthusiastic about that.
[00:26:36] Now, later, Bailey talks to Spicey and Kayla
[00:26:40] and they have these conversations once again.
[00:26:43] They would like to get Matt up this week.
[00:26:46] They still would like that to happen.
[00:26:48] So the discussions are still being had surrounding Avery,
[00:26:53] but Avery herself seems reluctant to the idea, at least from my perspective,
[00:26:58] of of taking a shot at Matt,
[00:27:01] even though Spicey will likely be pushing for it.
[00:27:04] Bailey will likely be pushing for it.
[00:27:05] Kayla may even be pushing for it.
[00:27:09] As of right now, Avery is reluctant,
[00:27:12] but that does not mean that it won't happen by any means.
[00:27:16] So keep that in mind.
[00:27:18] And these are the correct nominations
[00:27:20] to make something like that happen as well, where, you know,
[00:27:24] they would be able to basically control the votes
[00:27:28] as long as Todd is off the block.
[00:27:32] Wherever they want to take it.
[00:27:35] So that's kind of where things stand with the nominations.
[00:27:41] Avery did talk to Goose about him going up on the block.
[00:27:47] She let him know, hey, you're going up the block.
[00:27:50] And he was like, yep, yep, make sense.
[00:27:52] I totally get it after everything that happened.
[00:27:55] I'm totally willing to do this.
[00:27:57] And honestly, this is a good thing.
[00:27:59] I get to prove my loyalty this week and make up for what I did.
[00:28:03] And she's like, sure.
[00:28:06] She later tells everyone like, yeah, I was trying to tell him
[00:28:09] like he's basically my target, but he just kind of jumped in and was like,
[00:28:13] oh, great, this is what I wanted.
[00:28:15] So I just kind of let him think that.
[00:28:18] I guess.
[00:28:21] She also talked to Tola and let him know that he was going to be on.
[00:28:26] He obviously was not happy about it, but what can you do?
[00:28:33] So.
[00:28:34] So that's where we stand.
[00:28:36] Nomination plans, Tola and Goose.
[00:28:39] Goose is the target.
[00:28:41] Tola as the backup target.
[00:28:43] And then Todd as the replacement intended replacement on if needed.
[00:28:50] However.
[00:28:53] Keep in mind, spicy, Bailey, Kayla, Todd will all probably be pushing hard
[00:29:02] for a map backdoor if they have the ability to make something like that happen.
[00:29:08] So still plenty of game left to be played this week.
[00:29:11] But but that's basically what we've got.
[00:29:13] I mean, Avery would like her an easy week.
[00:29:17] She may or may not get her wish, but right for so far, it's been a fairly
[00:29:21] straightforward and not dramatic set of drops.
[00:29:26] So that's about it.
[00:29:28] That's I mean, that's about what we've got.
[00:29:31] I even added some analysis along the way, but there's really not a ton
[00:29:35] to update you on at this point.
[00:29:38] So stay tuned for future podcasts.
[00:29:40] We're currently scheduled to do a recap for the eviction on Wednesday.
[00:29:44] See what happens there.
[00:29:46] But, you know, it's always possible if something really wild happens
[00:29:49] that we might pop in a little bit earlier than that.
[00:29:52] But ask me some some questions here in the chat if you if you've got some.
[00:29:59] And I have one from Benjamin here.
[00:30:00] Who are the top three people most likely to be to get evicted this week?
[00:30:05] Percentage.
[00:30:07] I would say.
[00:30:11] Let's see. I would say.
[00:30:14] Goose is the highest, most likely person to leave this week.
[00:30:22] Percentage wise, I'm sure I'd give it like.
[00:30:26] At least a plurality, maybe maybe like 50, 60 percent.
[00:30:31] And then.
[00:30:36] And it's tough.
[00:30:37] I think like I think the next I think there's three more.
[00:30:40] I think it's Tola, Todd and Matt are all options.
[00:30:44] And I think they all share a somewhat equal percentage of of being in danger at this point.
[00:30:50] I think it's just it's kind of like goose.
[00:30:53] And if not goose, a few other options here.
[00:30:56] Tola, Todd, Matt could be any one of them.
[00:31:02] Is goose the worst second draft pick of all time?
[00:31:05] Probably not.
[00:31:08] Do we think Anthony is beginning to get a bit nervous that these girls are going to turn on him soon?
[00:31:13] I don't know, man.
[00:31:15] Like.
[00:31:18] It's so difficult because we've genuinely for as big of a presence as Anthony has in the house,
[00:31:24] he's barely in the drops and he's honestly barely in the episode.
[00:31:29] I mean, we get him like boasting in the dire room in the episodes, but like.
[00:31:33] I'm we're not really getting a full a lot of glimpses into like his actual strategic.
[00:31:41] Direction.
[00:31:43] I will say this based on what we're seeing.
[00:31:47] Like through his actions in the house and the way he's operating.
[00:31:52] He's not as concerned as he should be.
[00:31:55] From my perspective.
[00:31:58] What do I think you should have done last week?
[00:32:01] What do I think you should have done last week?
[00:32:04] I think realizing that he was getting played by by spicy was was good for goose.
[00:32:13] But he should not have like yelled it from the rooftops.
[00:32:17] Obviously, I think he should have gone straight to Anthony with it.
[00:32:24] Which I know I get it.
[00:32:25] Like, I'm going to go to Anthony with this.
[00:32:27] But like.
[00:32:30] Given the read, you have to understand that there are two options.
[00:32:35] There's there's spicy or there's Anthony.
[00:32:37] You can't really exist outside of that, especially with Dennis gone with
[00:32:41] Donna gone with all these people gone.
[00:32:43] Like you just don't have the numbers there.
[00:32:45] You have to work through one of them.
[00:32:47] And when you know spicy is like very clearly using you and has tons of other options.
[00:32:52] Anthony needs you more.
[00:32:54] And so you kind of just got to go to that side.
[00:32:56] I think you go straight to Anthony to talk to him about it.
[00:32:59] He and you hope that you can make something happen over there.
[00:33:02] And with that in mind.
[00:33:05] Most importantly.
[00:33:07] You can't keep taught.
[00:33:09] You have to keep Tola overtaught.
[00:33:12] You have to go to Tola to apologize for putting him up on the block
[00:33:15] in the first place, you say, hey, I'm sorry, I feel like led.
[00:33:19] And I will keep you if it comes down to a tie.
[00:33:22] And I will not reject you first in the events of a rejection chain.
[00:33:29] You have to choose a side is I mean, it all comes down to you have to choose a side.
[00:33:33] And what you should not do is loudly proclaim
[00:33:38] this side has fooled me and lied to me.
[00:33:41] What the flip?
[00:33:42] And then choose that side in battle.
[00:33:48] Like don't give power to the side you were just yelling against.
[00:33:52] Because they're not going to take that lightly.
[00:33:55] You got to choose a side and he didn't really choose a side properly.
[00:34:01] Is Matt salty about being rejected by Lexis?
[00:34:03] Not that I've seen.
[00:34:05] Who do I think finally takes out spicy V?
[00:34:08] It's not going to happen anytime soon, so.
[00:34:12] No.
[00:34:16] Honestly.
[00:34:17] I guess.
[00:34:20] I best guess.
[00:34:23] Give me Bailey and talk.
[00:34:25] I think she's she's playing with fire.
[00:34:26] I like the thing about spicy is that she's like so willing to turn on people,
[00:34:31] but she's so focused on turning on like one section of people that she hasn't
[00:34:35] been able to turn on yet.
[00:34:36] So she's kind of, I think blinded to the potential danger that is
[00:34:41] hot in Bailey if they get far enough.
[00:34:44] They're smart.
[00:34:45] Bailey especially.
[00:34:48] And the second like the big threats get out of Bailey's way and she gets to
[00:34:52] like actually settle down and think about where she wants to move strategically,
[00:34:57] I think that's when she starts to realize, hmm,
[00:35:01] spicy is probably the best at comps left in the game.
[00:35:05] She's probably the most insulated.
[00:35:07] I don't know.
[00:35:08] I don't know.
[00:35:09] I don't know.
[00:35:10] She's probably the most insulated.
[00:35:12] I don't know.
[00:35:14] It's it's not impossible.
[00:35:19] Could Anthony use the director's info to flip Todd against girls?
[00:35:23] Not likely, I think.
[00:35:27] It's there's just been two like this is one of those situations where
[00:35:33] Todd was about to be evicted.
[00:35:34] Like this is a Frank situation.
[00:35:36] Like he was about to be evicted.
[00:35:39] He knew Anthony was basically behind it.
[00:35:43] He's not supposed to be here.
[00:35:44] And if it were up to Anthony, he wouldn't be here.
[00:35:46] So no matter what Anthony has to say to him, like.
[00:35:51] Unless Anthony can pull off a dance funeral, you know what I mean?
[00:35:54] Like it's it's going to be a tough sell.
[00:36:00] I said spices playing the middle to guard any idea where spices
[00:36:03] actual loyalties are.
[00:36:04] I do think she is most loyal to the women.
[00:36:12] But in a way where like, you know, she doesn't want to have to pick sides.
[00:36:16] And I think she would go to the end with the women sooner
[00:36:19] than she would go to the end with Dougie.
[00:36:22] But I think she'd also just like choose whatever side in the moment.
[00:36:25] Like, I don't think that that doesn't mean that I think
[00:36:27] she's locked in in any direction.
[00:36:28] I think that she will make her mind up every single week
[00:36:31] where she wants to go that week.
[00:36:33] And it's going to be wherever she feels is best for.
[00:36:39] Let's see, is it best for spicy to get Matt out right now?
[00:36:43] No, I don't think so.
[00:36:47] I don't think it's worth it.
[00:36:49] I really don't.
[00:36:51] For better or worse, like, Matt, like Anthony's not lying
[00:36:55] when he tells Spicey that Matt is obsessed with her.
[00:36:59] Anthony has Matt so loyal to Spicey,
[00:37:02] even though they barely have a relationship.
[00:37:04] And I understand why Spicey doubts that.
[00:37:06] It's like, I don't even know the guy.
[00:37:08] How is he so loyal to me?
[00:37:09] But he actually is.
[00:37:10] Like he's not going to touch Spicey, especially with Anthony there.
[00:37:14] And so, you know, it's not it's not really that much of a concern.
[00:37:19] Now, the bigger concern, I think, is the nature of competitions
[00:37:23] and the nature of the fact that, like, Matt is basically, like
[00:37:28] one of the only, you know, buff dudes left in the game,
[00:37:34] especially if like, I mean, Ola's obviously buff.
[00:37:38] Anthony's obviously, like, you know, super buff.
[00:37:42] But in terms of, like, the right age and and like body size
[00:37:51] and level of athleticism to, like, really dominate,
[00:37:55] especially Vitos in the end game, you know,
[00:37:57] Matt is a bit dangerous there.
[00:38:00] But but I don't know that it's really worth it for to take the shot
[00:38:04] in this particular HOH.
[00:38:07] I don't think Matt would ever touch her.
[00:38:09] She might lose Baylor Todd in the event of a Matt HOH.
[00:38:14] But honestly, that's it's not that bad of a thing.
[00:38:17] Like I said, they're kind of dangerous too.
[00:38:18] So I don't think it's worth it personally.
[00:38:24] Honest opinion about Vivek Exit interviews.
[00:38:26] I mean, I can only speak to the one he did with me.
[00:38:29] He seemed down, man.
[00:38:30] He seems and I get it, you know what I mean?
[00:38:35] So I personally I tried to I tried to, you know,
[00:38:41] you know, I tried to cheer him up a little bit.
[00:38:46] But, you know, I understand the situation.
[00:38:52] Let's see.
[00:38:54] What will Lexus do if Matt leaves?
[00:38:58] I honestly don't know.
[00:38:59] It depends on how he leaves, I think.
[00:39:01] I do think she'll stick to the women if Matt's gone,
[00:39:03] but perhaps not if the women are the direct cause of Matt.
[00:39:07] That makes sense.
[00:39:12] Let's see here.
[00:39:14] What are the odds of Bailey and Tola teaming up?
[00:39:17] I wouldn't say super likely.
[00:39:18] I think she's a little more likely to team up directly with Anthony.
[00:39:22] So I think Anthony will try to dismantle hot chocolate soon.
[00:39:24] I don't think he will.
[00:39:25] I don't think he will soon.
[00:39:26] I think he's got bigger problems to deal with anyway.
[00:39:30] I think he will still be going after Bailey and and Todd.
[00:39:35] The fear is, and I think it's a valid fear what happens after.
[00:39:40] At that point, is he really going to take out his Tola and Matt
[00:39:46] in favor of keeping, you know, hot chocolate?
[00:39:51] Wouldn't really be best for his game, but.
[00:39:55] You know, no.
[00:40:00] Could we call hot chocolate the most successful women's alliance ever?
[00:40:04] Hotter chocolate is is the women's alliance within hot chocolate.
[00:40:09] If you want to specify a women's alliance,
[00:40:10] I think would would call it hotter chocolate,
[00:40:12] even though they haven't really called it that.
[00:40:15] Will there be a triple this season?
[00:40:17] They do have to speed up a bit here, I think.
[00:40:19] But at the very least, I think we're getting like
[00:40:24] probably two doubles.
[00:40:26] I'd rather get two doubles than a triple, obviously.
[00:40:31] If Matt hits the block to the girls lose Lexis.
[00:40:34] I mean, that's the big question, right?
[00:40:35] I think if Avery does it with the clear support of everyone else,
[00:40:39] like how could Lexis stick?
[00:40:41] You know what I mean?
[00:40:42] I mean, she doesn't have a lot of options, but I think that,
[00:40:44] you know, she has to she has to take shots.
[00:40:48] And I think that I think they lose her in like a long,
[00:40:51] a long term, but the short term, she doesn't really have.
[00:40:56] Let's see.
[00:40:58] Marsha, the moose needs to show up.
[00:41:01] But I think the comps have been equitable this season.
[00:41:03] Anyone can spit.
[00:41:07] I will say I have been.
[00:41:11] Now, listen, I haven't been like paying a lot of close attention.
[00:41:15] So I don't know how intentional this seems to be,
[00:41:19] but I do think that the competition outcomes have been good.
[00:41:25] So whatever it is that they've done, either by adjusting
[00:41:28] the competitions or by like casting in a different way,
[00:41:32] because like, let's be real, there are considerably less
[00:41:35] broy bro buff dudes in this cast.
[00:41:39] So it's possible that the competition still favor those people.
[00:41:42] There's just not very many of them.
[00:41:44] And so so that's helping.
[00:41:46] Or the competitions might be favorable.
[00:41:49] I agree.
[00:41:49] I think the spinning competitions for as gross as they are seem to be
[00:41:53] somewhat equitable and, you know, like growing darts and stuff
[00:41:57] is obviously pretty equitable.
[00:41:59] So I think honestly, for the competitions being probably
[00:42:05] my biggest criticism of the show in the last few years, both versions,
[00:42:09] I think that is one thing that they seem to be doing
[00:42:13] decently with so far.
[00:42:14] Spread has been pretty good.
[00:42:16] I've been pretty happy with it.
[00:42:19] Bailey knows what she's doing when she tells us she trusts Anthony.
[00:42:22] A thousand percent, I agree with that comment.
[00:42:24] I think that I think the Bailey.
[00:42:28] Understands that she cannot openly say that she doesn't trust Anthony.
[00:42:35] But I don't think she actually trusts and.
[00:42:37] OK.
[00:42:42] Who's the best player named after an animal?
[00:42:44] Goose, moose or brood?
[00:42:47] Give me moose.
[00:42:49] Yeah, give me moose for that one.
[00:42:53] Well, I'm having a good time watching the season.
[00:42:58] Not particularly.
[00:43:00] There's been some good moments like I would say
[00:43:02] every week there's probably like
[00:43:07] 10 to 20 minutes of content that I'm like, oh, this is fun.
[00:43:12] And then the rest of it, I'm like, all right.
[00:43:15] But like, that's that's not bad, honestly, for a big brother season.
[00:43:18] Like like that ratio is not like the worst in the world.
[00:43:22] But I think like the overall vibe of not having feeds just doesn't quite work for me.
[00:43:26] OK.
[00:43:30] Let's see here.
[00:43:34] Any other questions?
[00:43:36] Will there be a BB can round table?
[00:43:38] This is it.
[00:43:39] I am the table.
[00:43:43] You can this is this is the day it's not very round.
[00:43:47] But yeah, this is this is the table with the way the jury is stacking up.
[00:43:51] Does it look likely that spicy could actually beat Anthony in a final two?
[00:43:55] Oh yeah, absolutely.
[00:43:57] Now.
[00:43:58] The way that spicy is playing the game, I don't think
[00:44:01] plays super favorably in a jury setting where people can compare notes.
[00:44:07] But.
[00:44:10] That may not matter.
[00:44:13] It's it's a little bit of a double edged sword.
[00:44:15] She has closer relationships to a lot of these people.
[00:44:19] They may feel more burned by her, but they're still closer to her.
[00:44:22] So it could go one way or the other at that point.
[00:44:26] The thing is, if she's in the end with Anthony, this is this is the biggest
[00:44:31] problem for her is that she's been talking up Anthony's threat level,
[00:44:34] saying he's going to beat us all this whole time.
[00:44:36] And so it really like it undermines her own strategic
[00:44:41] capability if she's sitting there with Anthony.
[00:44:44] And that's where it's possible that that Anthony still beats her.
[00:44:48] If that makes sense, right?
[00:44:49] Like like in a vacuum, I think she has better relationships
[00:44:55] and more control of the game to say, hey, I should win over Anthony.
[00:45:00] But because she's been propping Anthony up as this big target,
[00:45:06] as this guy that's running the game, as somebody that has to go,
[00:45:08] we can't let him get to the end.
[00:45:10] He's going to beat us all for her to be sitting next to him
[00:45:13] speaks to a failure on her part or a hypocrisy.
[00:45:17] One or the other either way, it may make people less likely to vote for her.
[00:45:22] But that's a long way away at this point.
[00:45:26] Um, all right.
[00:45:32] Um, my pick to win right now.
[00:45:38] That's a good question.
[00:45:39] If I was feeling good about Kayla, but I don't think she
[00:45:44] I think her game is as tanked a bit in the last couple of weeks.
[00:45:50] I mean, I shouldn't say it's it's fall.
[00:45:52] She was like at a peak.
[00:45:54] And I think that she's kind of fallen back down a bit over the last couple of weeks.
[00:45:58] Honestly, like.
[00:46:01] I like Avery's mind, but I don't know that she has enough respect right now in the game.
[00:46:08] You know, like.
[00:46:10] Watch out for Bailey, honestly, if she can survive the next couple of rounds
[00:46:17] get to an end game with women.
[00:46:19] It's not the worst thing in the world, but you know what?
[00:46:22] I think if I have to pick someone.
[00:46:27] And and the obvious answers are Anthony and Spicey.
[00:46:31] So I'm not going to pick them.
[00:46:33] If I have to pick somebody other than Anthony and Spicey.
[00:46:37] This might be a long shot.
[00:46:39] Might be it might be a weird pickback.
[00:46:42] I think we go Lexis.
[00:46:44] I think Lexis is the most protected person on both sides
[00:46:48] because she is in the middle of the women and the guys.
[00:46:51] She's great at competitions.
[00:46:53] I think she'll start to really rack up some wins for the end.
[00:46:57] And as long as Matt sticks around, she has a great shield
[00:47:01] and person that's going to win comps now might leave this week
[00:47:03] and that might diminish her options.
[00:47:05] But I would say watch out for Lexis.
[00:47:09] She doesn't have like the greatest social game, obviously.
[00:47:12] But but that might not matter if she like wins her way to the end
[00:47:15] from Final Five or whatever, which is totally possible.
[00:47:20] Whether or not.
[00:47:25] OK, a couple more questions then we'll wrap up here.
[00:47:33] Let's see. Benjamin agrees.
[00:47:35] Lexis, Lexis might win this one.
[00:47:41] All right, I think that's I think that's mostly it here.
[00:47:44] That's what.
[00:47:46] What we got for questions.
[00:47:48] All right, so that's what I got.
[00:47:50] Thank you. Listen, 20 minutes of updates about 20 minutes of question answering.
[00:47:54] So hopefully you enjoyed this.
[00:47:58] And I'll see you.
[00:48:00] I'll see you all soon.
[00:48:01] You can always find me over on Twitch, watching episodes,
[00:48:05] having a good time over there.
[00:48:06] I'll be playing some blood on the clock tower this week,
[00:48:09] which is a very fun social strategic deduction game.
[00:48:16] And then Gooseboostuck, another one as well over on there on Twitch
[00:48:19] and watching the episodes podcast on Wednesday.
[00:48:24] Check out the interview I did with Vivek on Thursday.
[00:48:27] And that's about it.
[00:48:29] So thank you for joining me here and.
[00:48:33] See all of you next time.
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